Although large amounts of potassium (K) are applied in tropical crops and planted forests, little is known about the interaction between K nutrition and water supply regimes on water resources in tropical regions. This interaction is a major issue because climate change is expected to increase the length of drought periods in many tropical regions and soil water availability in deep soil layers is likely to have a major influence on tree growth during dry periods in tropical planted forests. A process-based model (MAESPA) was parameterized in a throughfall exclusion experiment in Brazil to gain insight into the combined effects of K deficiency and rainfall reduction (37% throughfall exclusion) on the water used by the trees, soil water storage and water table fluctuations over the first 4.5 years after planting Eucalyptus grandis trees. A comparison of canopy transpiration in each plot with the values predicted for the same soil with the water content maintained at field capacity, made it possible to calculate a soil-driven tree water stress index for each treatment. Compared to K-fertilized trees with undisturbed rainfall (+K+W), canopy transpiration was 40% lower for K deficiency (-K+W), 20% lower for W deficit (+K - W) and 36% lower for combined K deficiency and W deficit (- K - W) on average. Water was withdrawn in deeper soil layers for -W than for + W, particularly over dry seasons. Under contrasted K availability, water withdrawal was more superficial for -K than for +K. Mean soil water content down to 18 m below surface (mbs) was 24% higher for - K+ W than for +K+W from 2 years after planting (after canopy closure), while it was 24% lower for +K-W and 12% lower for -K W than for +K+W. The soil-driven tree water stress index was 166% higher over the first 4.5 years after planting for - W than for +W, 76% lower for -K than for +K, and 14% lower for -K -W than for +K+W. Over the study period, deep seepage was higher by 371 mm yr(-1) (+122%) for -K than for +K and lower by 200 mm yr(-1) (- 66%) for -W than for +W. Deep seepage was lower by 44% for -K- W than for +K+ W. At the end of the study period, the model predicted a higher water table for -K (10 mbs for -K+W and 16 mbs for -K-W) than for +K (16 mbs for +K+W and 18 mbs for +K-W). Our study suggests that flexible fertilization regimes could contribute to adjusting the local trade-off between wood production and demand for soil water resources in planted forests.Read less <