Switching from a mechanistic model to a continuous model to study at different scales the effect of vine growth on the dynamic of a powdery mildew epidemic
BURIE, Jean Baptiste
Tools of automatic control for scientific computing, Models and Methods in Biomathematics [ANUBIS]
Institut de Mathématiques de Bordeaux [IMB]
Tools of automatic control for scientific computing, Models and Methods in Biomathematics [ANUBIS]
Institut de Mathématiques de Bordeaux [IMB]
LANGLAIS, Michel
Tools of automatic control for scientific computing, Models and Methods in Biomathematics [ANUBIS]
Tools of automatic control for scientific computing, Models and Methods in Biomathematics [ANUBIS]
BURIE, Jean Baptiste
Tools of automatic control for scientific computing, Models and Methods in Biomathematics [ANUBIS]
Institut de Mathématiques de Bordeaux [IMB]
Tools of automatic control for scientific computing, Models and Methods in Biomathematics [ANUBIS]
Institut de Mathématiques de Bordeaux [IMB]
LANGLAIS, Michel
Tools of automatic control for scientific computing, Models and Methods in Biomathematics [ANUBIS]
< Réduire
Tools of automatic control for scientific computing, Models and Methods in Biomathematics [ANUBIS]
Langue
en
Article de revue
Ce document a été publié dans
Annals of Botany. 2010, vol. 107, n° 5, p. 885-895
Oxford University Press (OUP)
Résumé en anglais
*Background and Aims : Epidemiological simulation models coupling plant growth with the dispersal and disease dynamics of an airborne plant pathogen were devised for a better understanding of host–pathogen dynamic interactions ...Lire la suite >
*Background and Aims : Epidemiological simulation models coupling plant growth with the dispersal and disease dynamics of an airborne plant pathogen were devised for a better understanding of host–pathogen dynamic interactions and of the capacity of grapevine development to modify the progress of powdery mildew epidemics. *Methods : The first model is a complex discrete mechanistic model (M-model) that explicitly incorporates the dynamics of host growth and the development and dispersion of the pathogen at the vine stock scale. The second model is a simpler ordinary differential equations (ODEs) compartmental SEIRT model (C-model) handling host growth (foliar surface) and the ontogenic resistance of the leaves. With the M-model various levels of vine development are simulated under three contrasting climatic scenarios and the relationship between host and disease variables are examined at key periods in the epidemic process. The ability of the C-model to retrieve the main dynamics of the disease for a range of vine growth given by the M-model is investigated. *Key Results : The M-model strengthens experimental results observed regarding the effect of the rate of leaf emergence and of the number of leaves at flowering on the severity of the disease. However, it also underlines strong variations of the dynamics of disease depending on the vigour and indirectly on the climatic scenarios. The C-model could be calibrated by using the M-model provided that different parameters before and after shoot topping and for various vigour levels and inoculation time are used. Biologically relevant estimations of the parameters that could be used for its extension to the vineyard scale are obtained. *Conclusions : The M-model is able to generate a wide range of growth scenarios with a strong impact on disease evolution. The C-model is a promising tool to be used at a larger scale.< Réduire
Mots clés
CROISSANCE DE LA VIGNE
Mots clés en anglais
HOST–PATHOGEN MODELS
MECHANISTIC MODEL
SEIRT MODEL
HOST GROWTH
POWDERY MILDEW
GRAPEVINE
Project ANR
Modéliser les interactions entre développement et architecture de la plante et épidémies de maladies fongiques aériennes, pour une gestion durable des cultures. - ANR-08-STRA-0004
Origine
Importé de halUnités de recherche