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hal.structure.identifierPacte, Laboratoire de sciences sociales [PACTE]
hal.structure.identifierSciences Po Grenoble - Institut d'études politiques de Grenoble [IEPG]
dc.contributor.authorMAGNI BERTON, Raul
hal.structure.identifierCentre Émile Durkheim [CED]
dc.contributor.authorPANEL, Sophie
dc.date.issued2018-03-22
dc.identifier.issn1065-9129
dc.description.abstractEnAccording to minimalist theories of democracy, the reason why civil conflicts are less frequent in democracies is that opposition parties can reasonably expect to win the next elections: they then prefer to wait than to rebel. In dictatorships, waiting until the dictator dies is generally much costlier. This waiting time, however, is considerably shortened when the dictator is old. Therefore, the risk of domestic conflict should decrease along with the age of autocratic leaders. Based on 160 countries from 1960 to 2008, our empirical analysis shows that the leader’s age decreases the likelihood of violent rebellion in dictatorships, but not in democratic regimes.
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSAGE Publications (UK and US)
dc.subject.enpolitical leaders
dc.subject.endictatorship
dc.subject.enintrastate conflict
dc.subject.endemocracy
dc.title.enAlternation through Death: Is Gerontocracy an Equilibrium?
dc.typeArticle de revue
dc.identifier.doi10.1177/1065912918775251
dc.subject.halSciences de l'Homme et Société/Science politique
bordeaux.journalPolitical Research Quarterly
bordeaux.page975-988
bordeaux.volume71
bordeaux.issue4
bordeaux.peerReviewedoui
hal.identifierhalshs-02892057
hal.version1
hal.popularnon
hal.audienceInternationale
hal.origin.linkhttps://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr//halshs-02892057v1
bordeaux.COinSctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.jtitle=Political%20Research%20Quarterly&rft.date=2018-03-22&rft.volume=71&rft.issue=4&rft.spage=975-988&rft.epage=975-988&rft.eissn=1065-9129&rft.issn=1065-9129&rft.au=MAGNI%20BERTON,%20Raul&PANEL,%20Sophie&rft.genre=article


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