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Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate

dc.rights.licenseopenen_US
hal.structure.identifierDepartment of Geography [Sheffield]
dc.contributor.authorJONES, Julie M.
hal.structure.identifierScripps Institution of Oceanography [SIO - UC San Diego]
dc.contributor.authorGILLE, Sarah T.
hal.structure.identifierInstitut d'Astronomie et de Géophysique Georges Lemaître [UCL-ASTR]
dc.contributor.authorGOOSSE, Hugues
hal.structure.identifierAustralian National University [ANU]
dc.contributor.authorABRAM, Nerilie J.
dc.contributor.authorCANZIANI, Pablo
dc.contributor.authorCHARMAN, Dan
dc.contributor.authorCLEM, Kyle
hal.structure.identifierEnvironnements et Paléoenvironnements OCéaniques [EPOC]
dc.contributor.authorCROSTA, Xavier
hal.structure.identifierNucleus for European Modeling of the Ocean [NEMO R&D]
dc.contributor.authorDE LAVERGNE, Casimir
hal.structure.identifierScripps Institution of Oceanography [SIO - UC San Diego]
dc.contributor.authorEISENMAN, Ian
hal.structure.identifierSchool of Computing, Electronics and Mathematics [Coventry]
dc.contributor.authorENGLAND, Matthew H.
dc.contributor.authorFOGT, Ryan
dc.contributor.authorFRANKCOMBE, Leela
dc.contributor.authorMARSHALL, Gareth
hal.structure.identifierLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] [LSCE]
hal.structure.identifierGlaces et Continents, Climats et Isotopes Stables [GLACCIOS]
dc.contributor.authorMASSON-DELMOTTE, Valérie
dc.contributor.authorMORRISON, Adele
hal.structure.identifierLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] [LSCE]
hal.structure.identifierGlaces et Continents, Climats et Isotopes Stables [GLACCIOS]
dc.contributor.authorORSI, Anaïs
dc.contributor.authorRAPHAEL, Marilyn
dc.contributor.authorRENWICK, James
hal.structure.identifierNational Center for Atmospheric Research [Boulder] [NCAR]
dc.contributor.authorSCHNEIDER, David
dc.contributor.authorSIMPKINS, Graham
dc.contributor.authorSTEIG, Eric J.
hal.structure.identifierUniversity of Ca’ Foscari [Venice, Italy]
dc.contributor.authorSTENNI, Barbara
hal.structure.identifierEnvironnements et Paléoenvironnements OCéaniques [EPOC]
dc.contributor.authorSWINGEDOUW, Didier
dc.contributor.authorVANCE, Tessa
dc.date.accessioned2024-10-04T09:12:35Z
dc.date.available2024-10-04T09:12:35Z
dc.date.issued2016
dc.identifier.issn1758-678Xen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://oskar-bordeaux.fr/handle/20.500.12278/202252
dc.description.abstractEnUnderstanding the causes of recent climatic trends and variability in the high-latitude Southern Hemisphere is hampered by a short instrumental record. Here, we analyse recent atmosphere, surface ocean and sea-ice observations in this region and assess their trends in the context of palaeoclimate records and climate model simulations. Over the 36-year satellite era, significant linear trends in annual mean sea-ice extent, surface temperature and sea-level pressure are superimposed on large interannual to decadal variability. Most observed trends, however, are not unusual when compared with Antarctic palaeoclimate records of the past two centuries. With the exception of the positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode, climate model simulations that include anthropogenic forcing are not compatible with the observed trends. This suggests that natural variability overwhelms the forced response in the observations, but the models may not fully represent this natural variability or may overestimate the magnitude of the forced response.
dc.language.isoENen_US
dc.title.enAssessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate
dc.typeArticle de revueen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/NCLIMATE3103en_US
dc.subject.halPlanète et Univers [physics]/Océan, Atmosphèreen_US
dc.subject.halPlanète et Univers [physics]/Sciences de la Terre/Océanographieen_US
dc.subject.halPlanète et Univers [physics]/Sciences de la Terre/Climatologieen_US
bordeaux.journalNature Climate Changeen_US
bordeaux.page917-926en_US
bordeaux.volume6en_US
bordeaux.hal.laboratoriesEPOC : Environnements et Paléoenvironnements Océaniques et Continentaux - UMR 5805en_US
bordeaux.issue10en_US
bordeaux.institutionUniversité de Bordeauxen_US
bordeaux.institutionCNRSen_US
bordeaux.teamPALEOen_US
bordeaux.peerReviewedouien_US
bordeaux.inpressnonen_US
bordeaux.import.sourcehal
hal.identifierhal-02105548
hal.version1
hal.popularnonen_US
hal.audienceInternationaleen_US
hal.exportfalse
workflow.import.sourcehal
dc.rights.ccPas de Licence CCen_US
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