Afficher la notice abrégée

Forecasted coral reef decline in marine biodiversity hotspots under climate change

dc.rights.licenseopenen_US
hal.structure.identifierUnit of Ecology and Evolution
dc.contributor.authorDESCOMBES, Patrice
hal.structure.identifierDepartment of Ecology and Environment
dc.contributor.authorWISZ, Mary S.
hal.structure.identifierEcologie des systèmes marins côtiers [Ecosym]
dc.contributor.authorLEPRIEUR, Fabien
hal.structure.identifierCentre de Synthèse et d’Analyse sur la Biodiversité [CESAB]
hal.structure.identifierCentre de recherches insulaires et observatoire de l'environnement [CRIOBE]
dc.contributor.authorPARRAVICINI, Valerianio
hal.structure.identifierShell International Exploration & Production
hal.structure.identifierEarthByte Group, School of Geosciences
dc.contributor.authorHEINE, Christian
hal.structure.identifierDanish Meteorological Institute [DMI]
dc.contributor.authorOLSEN, Steffen M.
hal.structure.identifierEnvironnements et Paléoenvironnements OCéaniques [EPOC]
dc.contributor.authorSWINGEDOUW, Didier
hal.structure.identifierLaboratoire d'Excellence CORAIL [LabEX CORAIL]
dc.contributor.authorKULBICKI, Michel
hal.structure.identifierAustralian Research Council Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies
hal.structure.identifierEcologie des systèmes marins côtiers [Ecosym]
dc.contributor.authorMOUILLOT, David
hal.structure.identifierUnit of Ecology and Evolution
dc.contributor.authorPELLISSIER, Loïc
dc.date.accessioned2024-05-14T14:08:13Z
dc.date.available2024-05-14T14:08:13Z
dc.date.issued2015-03
dc.identifier.issn1354-1013en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://oskar-bordeaux.fr/handle/20.500.12278/199836
dc.description.abstractEnCoral bleaching events threaten coral reef habitats globally and cause severe declines of local biodiversity and productivity.Related to high sea surface temperatures (SST), bleaching events are expected to increase as a consequenceof future global warming. However, response to climate change is still uncertain as future low-latitude climatic conditionshave no present-day analogue. Sea surface temperatures during the Eocene epoch were warmer than forecastedchanges for the coming century, and distributions of corals during the Eocene may help to inform models forecastingthe future of coral reefs. We coupled contemporary and Eocene coral occurrences with information on their respectiveclimatic conditions to model the thermal niche of coral reefs and its potential response to projected climate change.We found that under the RCP8.5 climate change scenario, the global suitability for coral reefs may increase up to 16%by 2100, mostly due to improved suitability of higher latitudes. In contrast, in its current range, coral reef suitabilitymay decrease up to 46% by 2100. Reduction in thermal suitability will be most severe in biodiversity hotspots, especiallyin the Indo-Australian Archipelago. Our results suggest that many contemporary hotspots for coral reefs,including those that have been refugia in the past, spatially mismatch with future suitable areas for coral reefs posingchallenges to conservation actions under climate change.
dc.language.isoENen_US
dc.subject.enfish
dc.subject.enfossil
dc.subject.ensea surface temperature
dc.subject.enspecialists
dc.subject.enspecies distribution model
dc.subject.enspecies richness
dc.title.enForecasted coral reef decline in marine biodiversity hotspots under climate change
dc.typeArticle de revueen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/gcb.12868en_US
dc.subject.halSciences de l'environnement/Milieux et Changements globauxen_US
bordeaux.journalGlobal Change Biologyen_US
bordeaux.pageEpub ahead of printen_US
bordeaux.hal.laboratoriesEPOC : Environnements et Paléoenvironnements Océaniques et Continentaux - UMR 5805en_US
bordeaux.institutionUniversité de Bordeauxen_US
bordeaux.institutionCNRSen_US
bordeaux.teamPALEOen_US
bordeaux.peerReviewedouien_US
bordeaux.inpressnonen_US
bordeaux.import.sourcehal
hal.identifierhal-01145464
hal.version1
hal.popularnonen_US
hal.audienceInternationaleen_US
hal.exportfalse
workflow.import.sourcehal
dc.rights.ccPas de Licence CCen_US
bordeaux.COinSctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.jtitle=Global%20Change%20Biology&rft.date=2015-03&rft.spage=Epub%20ahead%20of%20print&rft.epage=Epub%20ahead%20of%20print&rft.eissn=1354-1013&rft.issn=1354-1013&rft.au=DESCOMBES,%20Patrice&WISZ,%20Mary%20S.&LEPRIEUR,%20Fabien&PARRAVICINI,%20Valerianio&HEINE,%20Christian&rft.genre=article


Fichier(s) constituant ce document

FichiersTailleFormatVue

Il n'y a pas de fichiers associés à ce document.

Ce document figure dans la(les) collection(s) suivante(s)

Afficher la notice abrégée