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Climate-dependent scenarios of land use for biodiversity and ecosystem services in the New Aquitaine region

dc.rights.licenseopenen_US
hal.structure.identifierBordeaux Sciences Economiques [BSE]
dc.contributor.authorANDRIAMANANTENA, Ny Andraina
hal.structure.identifierBordeaux Sciences Economiques [BSE]
dc.contributor.authorGAUFRETEAU, Charly
hal.structure.identifierCentre d'Economie et de Sociologie Rurales Appliquées à l'Agriculture et aux Espaces Ruraux [CESAER]
dc.contributor.authorAY, Jean-Sauveur
hal.structure.identifierBordeaux Sciences Economiques [BSE]
dc.contributor.authorDOYEN, Luc
IDREF: 058467572
dc.date.accessioned2023-02-10T10:59:15Z
dc.date.available2023-02-10T10:59:15Z
dc.date.issued2022-08
dc.identifier.issn1436-3798en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://oskar-bordeaux.fr/handle/20.500.12278/171928
dc.description.abstractEnThe synergies and trade-offs between human well-being, biodiversity, and ecosystem services are under debate for the design of more sustainable public policies. In that perspective, there is a need of quantitative methods to compare all these outcomes under alternative policy scenarios. The present paper provides scenarios at the horizon 2053 for the New-Aquitaine region in France. They rely on spatio-temporal models derived from individual land-use choices under climate change. The models are estimated at the national level from 1993-2003 fine-scale data. We focus on farming, forestry, and urban land-uses along with bird biodiversity scores and a basket of ecosystem services namely carbon sink intensity, forest recreation, and water pollution. A ‘climate-economic adaptation’ scenario shows that climate-induced land-use worsens the negative effects of climate change on biodiversity and several ecosystem services in the long run as compared to a ‘status quo’ scenario. Another scenario with an incentive policy, based on a flat payment for pastures, slightly mitigates these negative impacts on biodiversity and water pollution. However, this turns out to be detrimental for other ecosystem services. This result confirms that the design of sustainable policies can not be limited to uniform strategies and should account for the complexity of ecosystem management.
dc.language.isoENen_US
dc.subjectModel-based scenarios
dc.subjectBio-economics
dc.subjectClimate
dc.subjectLand-use
dc.subjectIncentive policy
dc.subjectBirds biodiversity
dc.subjectEcosystem services
dc.subject.enModel-based scenarios ; Bio-economics ; Climate ; Land-use ; Incentive policy ; Birds biodiversity ; Ecosystem services
dc.title.enClimate-dependent scenarios of land use for biodiversity and ecosystem services in the New Aquitaine region
dc.typeArticle de revueen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10113-022-01964-6en_US
dc.subject.halSciences de l'Homme et Société/Gestion et managementen_US
dc.subject.halSciences de l'environnementen_US
dc.subject.halMathématiques [math]en_US
bordeaux.journalRegional Environmental Changeen_US
bordeaux.page107en_US
bordeaux.volume22en_US
bordeaux.hal.laboratoriesBordeaux Sciences Economiques / Bordeaux School of Economics (BSE) - UMR 6060en_US
bordeaux.issue3en_US
bordeaux.institutionUniversité de Bordeauxen_US
bordeaux.institutionCNRSen_US
bordeaux.peerReviewedouien_US
bordeaux.inpressnonen_US
bordeaux.openAire.funderID2018 1R40115en_US
bordeaux.import.sourcehal
hal.identifierhalshs-03913031
hal.version1
hal.exportfalse
workflow.import.sourcehal
dc.rights.ccPas de Licence CCen_US
bordeaux.COinSctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.jtitle=Regional%20Environmental%20Change&rft.date=2022-08&rft.volume=22&rft.issue=3&rft.spage=107&rft.epage=107&rft.eissn=1436-3798&rft.issn=1436-3798&rft.au=ANDRIAMANANTENA,%20Ny%20Andraina&GAUFRETEAU,%20Charly&AY,%20Jean-Sauveur&DOYEN,%20Luc&rft.genre=article


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