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Maintaining forest cover to enhance temperature buffering under future climate change

hal.structure.identifierForest & Nature Lab [Melle-Gontrode] [ForNaLab]
hal.structure.identifierUniversiteit Gent = Ghent University = Université de Gand [UGENT]
dc.contributor.authorDE LOMBAERDE, Emiel
hal.structure.identifierUniversiteit Gent = Ghent University = Université de Gand [UGENT]
hal.structure.identifierForest & Nature Lab [Melle-Gontrode] [ForNaLab]
dc.contributor.authorVANGANSBEKE, Pieter
hal.structure.identifierEcologie et Dynamique des Systèmes Anthropisés - UMR CNRS 7058 UPJV [EDYSAN]
dc.contributor.authorLENOIR, Jonathan
hal.structure.identifierDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences [Leuven-Heverlee]
dc.contributor.authorVAN MEERBEEK, Koenraad
hal.structure.identifierUniversiteit Antwerpen = University of Antwerpen [Antwerpen]
dc.contributor.authorLEMBRECHTS, Jonas
hal.structure.identifierUniversidad de Sevilla = University of Seville
dc.contributor.authorRODRÍGUEZ-SÁNCHEZ, Francisco
hal.structure.identifierHelsingin yliopisto = Helsingfors universitet = University of Helsinki
dc.contributor.authorLUOTO, Miska
hal.structure.identifierUniversity of Florida [Gainesville] [UF]
dc.contributor.authorSCHEFFERS, Brett
hal.structure.identifierCatholic University of Leuven = Katholieke Universiteit Leuven [KU Leuven]
dc.contributor.authorHAESEN, Stef
hal.structure.identifierHelsingin yliopisto = Helsingfors universitet = University of Helsinki
dc.contributor.authorAALTO, Juha
hal.structure.identifierStockton University [Stockton]
dc.contributor.authorCHRISTIANSEN, Ditte Marie
hal.structure.identifierUniversiteit Gent = Ghent University = Université de Gand [UGENT]
dc.contributor.authorDE PAUW, Karen
hal.structure.identifierUniversiteit Gent = Ghent University = Université de Gand [UGENT]
dc.contributor.authorDEPAUW, Leen
hal.structure.identifierUniversiteit Gent = Ghent University = Université de Gand [UGENT]
dc.contributor.authorGOVAERT, Sanne
hal.structure.identifierDepartment of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences [Stockholm]
dc.contributor.authorGREISER, Caroline
hal.structure.identifierBiodiversité, Gènes & Communautés [BioGeCo]
dc.contributor.authorHAMPE, Arndt
hal.structure.identifierDepartment of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences [Stockholm]
dc.contributor.authorHYLANDER, Kristoffer
hal.structure.identifierUniversity of Florida [Gainesville] [UF]
dc.contributor.authorKLINGES, David
hal.structure.identifierDepartment of Ecology, Environment and Plant Sciences [Stockholm]
dc.contributor.authorKOELEMEIJER, Irena
hal.structure.identifierUniversiteit Gent = Ghent University = Université de Gand [UGENT]
dc.contributor.authorMEEUSSEN, Camille
hal.structure.identifierInteractions Sol Plante Atmosphère [UMR ISPA]
dc.contributor.authorOGÉE, Jérôme
hal.structure.identifierUniversiteit Gent = Ghent University = Université de Gand [UGENT]
dc.contributor.authorSANCZUK, Pieter
hal.structure.identifierUniversiteit Gent = Ghent University = Université de Gand [UGENT]
dc.contributor.authorVANNESTE, Thomas
hal.structure.identifierInstitut Fédéral de Recherches sur la Forêt, la Neige et le Paysage [WSL]
dc.contributor.authorZELLWEGER, Florian
hal.structure.identifierUniversiteit Gent = Ghent University = Université de Gand [UGENT]
dc.contributor.authorBAETEN, Lander
hal.structure.identifierUniversiteit Gent = Ghent University = Université de Gand [UGENT]
dc.contributor.authorDE FRENNE, Pieter
dc.date.issued2022-03
dc.identifier.issn0048-9697
dc.description.abstractEnForest canopies buffer macroclimatic temperature fluctuations. However, we do not know if and how the capacity of canopies to buffer understorey temperature will change with accelerating climate change. Here we map the difference (offset) between temperatures inside and outside forests in the recent past and project these into the future in boreal, temperate and tropical forests. Using linear mixed-effect models, we combined a global database of 714 paired time series of temperatures (mean, minimum and maximum) measured inside forests vs. in nearby open habitats with maps of macroclimate, topography and forest cover to hindcast past (1970–2000) and to project future (2060–2080) temperature differences between free-air temperatures and sub-canopy microclimates. For all tested future climate scenarios, we project that the difference between maximum temperatures inside and outside forests across the globe will increase (i.e. result in stronger cooling in forests), on average during 2060–2080, by 0.27 ± 0.16 °C (RCP2.6) and 0.60 ± 0.14 °C (RCP8.5) due to macroclimate changes. This suggests that extremely hot temperatures under forest canopies will, on average, warm less than outside forests as macroclimate warms. This knowledge is of utmost importance as it suggests that forest microclimates will warm at a slower rate than non-forested areas, assuming that forest cover is maintained. Species adapted to colder growing conditions may thus find shelter and survive longer than anticipated at a given forest site. This highlights the potential role of forests as a whole as microrefugia for biodiversity under future climate change.
dc.description.sponsorshipIMpacts des PRocessus mIcroclimatiques sur la redistributioN de la biodiversiTé forestière en contexte de réchauffement du macroclimat - ANR-19-CE32-0005
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.subject.enForest microclimate
dc.subject.enTemperature offsets
dc.subject.enCanopy
dc.subject.enClimate change
dc.subject.enFuture climate projections
dc.subject.enPaired sensor data
dc.title.enMaintaining forest cover to enhance temperature buffering under future climate change
dc.typeArticle de revue
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151338
dc.subject.halSciences de l'environnement
bordeaux.journalScience of the Total Environment
bordeaux.volume810
bordeaux.issue151338
bordeaux.peerReviewedoui
hal.identifierhal-03624480
hal.version1
hal.popularnon
hal.audienceInternationale
hal.origin.linkhttps://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr//hal-03624480v1
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