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Opportunities for Earth observation to inform risk management for ocean tipping points

dc.rights.licenseopenen_US
hal.structure.identifierMet Office Hadley Centre [MOHC]
dc.contributor.authorWOOD, Richard
hal.structure.identifierMet Office Hadley Centre [MOHC]
dc.contributor.authorBAKER, Jonathan
hal.structure.identifierLaboratoire d’Océanologie et de Géosciences (LOG) - UMR 8187 [LOG]
dc.contributor.authorBEAUGRAND, Grégory
hal.structure.identifierProcessus et interactions de fine échelle océanique [LOCEAN-PROTEO]
dc.contributor.authorBOUTIN, Jacqueline
hal.structure.identifierIstituto di Science Marine [ISMAR]
dc.contributor.authorCONVERSI, Alessandra
hal.structure.identifierMagdeburg-Stendal University
hal.structure.identifierPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research [PIK]
dc.contributor.authorDONNER, Reik
hal.structure.identifierHelmholtz Centre for Ocean Research [Kiel] [GEOMAR]
dc.contributor.authorFRENGER, Ivy
hal.structure.identifierBiologie des Organismes et Ecosystèmes Aquatiques [BOREA]
dc.contributor.authorGOBERVILLE, Eric
hal.structure.identifierJapan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology [JAMSTEC]
dc.contributor.authorHAYASHIDA, Hakase
hal.structure.identifierHelmholtz Centre for Ocean Research [Kiel] [GEOMAR]
dc.contributor.authorKOEVE, Wolfgang
hal.structure.identifierGNS Science [Lower Hutt]
dc.contributor.authorKVALE, Karin
hal.structure.identifierIstituto di Science Marine [ISMAR]
dc.contributor.authorLANDOLFI, Angela
hal.structure.identifierNaval Postgraduate School [NPS]
dc.contributor.authorMASLOWSKI, Wieslaw
hal.structure.identifierHelmholtz Centre for Ocean Research [Kiel] [GEOMAR]
dc.contributor.authorOSCHLIES, Andreas
hal.structure.identifierNASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies [GISS]
dc.contributor.authorROMANOU, Anastasia
hal.structure.identifierHelmholtz Centre for Ocean Research [Kiel] [GEOMAR]
dc.contributor.authorSOMES, Christopher
hal.structure.identifierOeschger Centre for Climate Change Research [OCCR]
dc.contributor.authorSTOCKER, Thomas
hal.structure.identifierEnvironnements et Paléoenvironnements OCéaniques [EPOC]
dc.contributor.authorSWINGEDOUW, Didier
dc.date.accessioned2025-03-25T15:38:26Z
dc.date.available2025-03-25T15:38:26Z
dc.date.issued2024-11-06
dc.identifier.issn0169-3298en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://oskar-bordeaux.fr/handle/20.500.12278/205669
dc.description.abstractEnAs climate change continues, the likelihood of passing critical thresholds or tipping points increases. Hence, there is a need to advance the science for detecting such thresholds. In this paper, we assess the needs and opportunities for Earth Observation (EO, here understood to refer to satellite observations) to inform society in responding to the risks associated with ten potential large-scale ocean tipping elements: Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation; Atlantic Subpolar Gyre; Beaufort Gyre; Arctic halocline; Kuroshio Large Meander; deoxygenation; phytoplankton; zooplankton; higher level ecosystems (including fisheries); and marine biodiversity. We review current scientific understanding and identify specific EO and related modelling needs for each of these tipping elements. We draw out some generic points that apply across several of the elements. These common points include the importance of maintaining long-term, consistent time series; the need to combine EO data consistently with in situ data types (including subsurface), for example through data assimilation; and the need to reduce or work with current mismatches in resolution (in both directions) between climate models and EO datasets. Our analysis shows that developing EO, modelling and prediction systems together, with understanding of the strengths and limitations of each, provides many promising paths towards monitoring and early warning systems for tipping, and towards the development of the next generation of climate models.
dc.language.isoENen_US
dc.subject.enEarth observation
dc.subject.enOcean circulation
dc.subject.enOcean deoxygenation
dc.subject.enOcean ecosystems
dc.title.enOpportunities for Earth observation to inform risk management for ocean tipping points
dc.typeArticle de revueen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10712-024-09859-3en_US
dc.subject.halPlanète et Univers [physics]/Océan, Atmosphèreen_US
dc.description.sponsorshipEuropeTipping Points in the Earth Systemen_US
bordeaux.journalSurveys in Geophysicsen_US
bordeaux.hal.laboratoriesEPOC : Environnements et Paléoenvironnements Océaniques et Continentaux - UMR 5805en_US
bordeaux.institutionUniversité de Bordeauxen_US
bordeaux.institutionCNRSen_US
bordeaux.teamPALEOen_US
bordeaux.peerReviewedouien_US
bordeaux.inpressnonen_US
bordeaux.import.sourcehal
hal.identifierhal-04794504
hal.version1
hal.popularnonen_US
hal.audienceInternationaleen_US
hal.exportfalse
workflow.import.sourcehal
dc.rights.ccPas de Licence CCen_US
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