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An analytical framework for assessing climate transition risks: an application to France
| dc.rights.license | open | en_US |
| dc.contributor.author | ALLEN, Thomas | |
| hal.structure.identifier | Bordeaux Sciences Economiques [BSE] | |
| dc.contributor.author | DEES, Stephane | |
| dc.contributor.author | CAICEDO GRACIANO, Carlos Mateo | |
| dc.contributor.author | CLERC, Laurent | |
| dc.contributor.author | DE GAYE, Annabelle | |
| dc.contributor.author | LISACK, Noëmie | |
| dc.contributor.author | PEGORARO, Fulvio | |
| dc.contributor.author | RABATÉ, Marie | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2024-09-17T13:27:04Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2024-09-17T13:27:04Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2024-07-17 | |
| dc.identifier.issn | 1610-2878 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri | oai:crossref.org:10.1007/s10290-024-00540-w | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://oskar-bordeaux.fr/handle/20.500.12278/201629 | |
| dc.description.abstractEn | This paper proposes an analytical framework to quantify the impacts of climate transition narratives on a consistent set of macroeconomic, sectoral and financial variables required for financial risk assessment. Focusing on transition risks, our set-up relies on a suite of models, calibrated on the high-level reference scenarios of the Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS). Its modular structure and variable coverage ensure a comprehensive assessment of the financial implications of disorderly transition scenarios to a low-carbon economy, from the identification of climate-sensitive sectors to the quantification of the impacts on financial metrics. An application to France evaluates the impacts on financial markets and credit risk parameters. Results indicate that the sectoral disruptions associated with a disorderly transition to a low-carbon economy can be substantial and translate in material financial risks. The study offers further grounds for encouraging policy-makers and financial institutions to support and prepare for an early and orderly transition. | |
| dc.language.iso | EN | en_US |
| dc.source | crossref | |
| dc.subject.en | Climate change | |
| dc.subject.en | Central banking | |
| dc.subject.en | Financial supervision | |
| dc.subject.en | Scenario analysis | |
| dc.subject.en | Financial stability | |
| dc.title.en | An analytical framework for assessing climate transition risks: an application to France | |
| dc.type | Article de revue | en_US |
| dc.identifier.doi | 10.1007/s10290-024-00540-w | en_US |
| dc.subject.hal | Sciences de l'Homme et Société/Economies et finances | en_US |
| dc.subject.jel | C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods::C6 - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling::C60 - General | en_US |
| dc.subject.jel | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics::E4 - Money and Interest Rates::E44 - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy | en_US |
| dc.subject.jel | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics::E5 - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit::E50 - General | en_US |
| dc.subject.jel | G - Financial Economics::G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance::G32 - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill | en_US |
| dc.subject.jel | Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics::Q4 - Energy::Q40 - General | en_US |
| dc.subject.jel | Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics::Q5 - Environmental Economics::Q54 - Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming | en_US |
| bordeaux.journal | Review of World Economics | en_US |
| bordeaux.hal.laboratories | Bordeaux Sciences Economiques / Bordeaux School of Economics (BSE) - UMR 6060 | en_US |
| bordeaux.institution | Université de Bordeaux | en_US |
| bordeaux.institution | CNRS | en_US |
| bordeaux.institution | INRAE | en_US |
| bordeaux.peerReviewed | oui | en_US |
| bordeaux.inpress | non | en_US |
| bordeaux.import.source | dissemin | |
| hal.identifier | hal-04700233 | |
| hal.version | 1 | |
| hal.date.transferred | 2024-09-17T13:27:07Z | |
| hal.popular | non | en_US |
| hal.audience | Internationale | en_US |
| hal.export | true | |
| workflow.import.source | dissemin | |
| dc.rights.cc | Pas de Licence CC | en_US |
| bordeaux.COinS | ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.jtitle=Review%20of%20World%20Economics&rft.date=2024-07-17&rft.eissn=1610-2878&rft.issn=1610-2878&rft.au=ALLEN,%20Thomas&DEES,%20Stephane&CAICEDO%20GRACIANO,%20Carlos%20Mateo&CLERC,%20Laurent&DE%20GAYE,%20Annabelle&rft.genre=article |
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