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Comparing the provision of ecosystem services in plantation forests under alternative climate change adaptation management options in Wales

hal.structure.identifierCentre for Ecosystems, Society and Biosecurity
dc.contributor.authorRAY, Duncan
hal.structure.identifierCentre for Sustainable Forestry and Climate Change
dc.contributor.authorBATHGATE, Stephen
hal.structure.identifierCentre for Ecosystems, Society and Biosecurity
dc.contributor.authorMOSELEY, Darren
hal.structure.identifierCentre for Ecosystems, Society and Biosecurity
dc.contributor.authorTAYLOR, Philip
hal.structure.identifierCentre for Sustainable Forestry and Climate Change
dc.contributor.authorNICOLL, Bruce
hal.structure.identifierNew Zealand Forest Research Institute
dc.contributor.authorPIZZIRANI, Stefania
hal.structure.identifierInteractions Sol Plante Atmosphère [UMR ISPA]
dc.contributor.authorGARDINER, Barry
dc.date.accessioned2024-04-08T12:02:30Z
dc.date.available2024-04-08T12:02:30Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.identifier.issn1436-3798
dc.identifier.urihttps://oskar-bordeaux.fr/handle/20.500.12278/196207
dc.description.abstractEnTo compare the provision of ecosystem services in plantation forests under alternative climate change adaptation management trajectories, we interpolated climatic variables from the UK 11-member regional climate models to use at high resolution in forest management situations. We used expert opinion to derive the links between coarse-scaled UK National Ecosystem Assessment scenarios and forest management alternatives (FMA) in a simulation of forest planning and management under climate change uncertainty. Nine indicators were used to compare the provision of forest ecosystem services from four alternative management trajectories based on FMA types under a changing climate. These show that by 2080 a ‘business as usual’ form of forest management at both Clocaenog and Gwydyr forests will become unsuitable under the two warmest and driest climate variants, marginal under four variants, and borderline suitable under the remaining five variants. This implies that if future forest policy requires the continued delivery of a wide range of ecosystem services, including, home grown timber, biodiversity, and the carbon mitigation benefit from woodlands, then there is 20–50 % chance of failing to deliver on some of these services, unless some adaptation measures to climatic impacts occurs, such as transformation to more diverse species forests managed using low-impact silviculture systems. We show that the benefits of achieving this will be to minimise most of the impacts that climate change would otherwise have on the delivery of ecosystem services from forests.
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSpringer Verlag
dc.subject.enRCM projections
dc.subject.enEcosystem goods and services
dc.subject.enUK National Ecosystem Assessment
dc.subject.enAdaptation
dc.subject.enFMA
dc.subject.enForest modelling
dc.subject.enForest resilience
dc.title.enComparing the provision of ecosystem services in plantation forests under alternative climate change adaptation management options in Wales
dc.typeArticle de revue
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10113-014-0644-6
dc.subject.halSciences de l'environnement/Milieux et Changements globaux
bordeaux.journalRegional Environmental Change
bordeaux.page1501-1513
bordeaux.volume15
bordeaux.hal.laboratoriesInteractions Soil Plant Atmosphere (ISPA) - UMR 1391*
bordeaux.issue8
bordeaux.institutionBordeaux Sciences Agro
bordeaux.institutionINRAE
bordeaux.peerReviewedoui
hal.identifierhal-02635423
hal.version1
hal.popularnon
hal.audienceInternationale
hal.origin.linkhttps://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr//hal-02635423v1
bordeaux.COinSctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.jtitle=Regional%20Environmental%20Change&rft.date=2015&rft.volume=15&rft.issue=8&rft.spage=1501-1513&rft.epage=1501-1513&rft.eissn=1436-3798&rft.issn=1436-3798&rft.au=RAY,%20Duncan&BATHGATE,%20Stephen&MOSELEY,%20Darren&TAYLOR,%20Philip&NICOLL,%20Bruce&rft.genre=article


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