Role of Atmospheric Indices in Describing Inshore Directional Wave Climate in the United Kingdom and Ireland
dc.rights.license | open | en_US |
hal.structure.identifier | School of Biological and Marine Science [SBMS] | |
dc.contributor.author | SCOTT, T. | |
hal.structure.identifier | School of Biological and Marine Science [SBMS] | |
dc.contributor.author | MCCARROLL, R. | |
hal.structure.identifier | School of Biological and Marine Science [SBMS] | |
dc.contributor.author | MASSELINK, G. | |
hal.structure.identifier | Environnements et Paléoenvironnements OCéaniques [EPOC] | |
dc.contributor.author | CASTELLE, Bruno
IDREF: 087596520 | |
hal.structure.identifier | Laboratoire d'Océanographie Physique et Spatiale [LOPS] | |
dc.contributor.author | DODET, G. | |
hal.structure.identifier | United Kingdom Met Office [Exeter] | |
dc.contributor.author | SAULTER, A. | |
hal.structure.identifier | College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences [Exeter] [EMPS] | |
dc.contributor.author | SCAIFE, A. | |
hal.structure.identifier | United Kingdom Met Office [Exeter] | |
dc.contributor.author | DUNSTONE, N. | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2024-02-14T14:11:51Z | |
dc.date.available | 2024-02-14T14:11:51Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2021-05 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://oskar-bordeaux.fr/handle/20.500.12278/188132 | |
dc.description.abstractEn | Improved understanding of how our coasts will evolve over a range of time scales (years-decades) is critical for effective and sustainable management of coastal infrastructure. A robust knowledge of the spatial, directional and temporal variability of the inshore wave climate is required to predict future coastal evolution and hence vulnerability. However, the variability of the inshore directional wave climate has received little attention, and an improved understanding could drive development of skillful seasonal or decadal forecasts of coastal response. We examine inshore wave climate at 63 locations throughout the United Kingdom and Ireland (1980–2017) and show that 73% are directionally bimodal. We find that winter-averaged expressions of six leading atmospheric indices are strongly correlated (r = 0.60–0.87) with both total and directional winter wave power (peak spectral wave direction) at all studied sites. Regional inshore wave climate classification through hierarchical cluster analysis and stepwise multi-linear regression of directional wave correlations with atmospheric indices defined four spatially coherent regions. We show that combinations of indices have significant skill in predicting directional wave climates (R2 = 0.45–0.8; p < 0.05). We demonstrate for the first time the significant explanatory power of leading winter-averaged atmospheric indices for directional wave climates, and show that leading seasonal forecasts of the NAO skillfully predict wave climate in some regions. | |
dc.description.sponsorship | Marier les objectifs de défense côtière avec ceux de la protection du milieu naturel grâce aux dunes sableuses - ANR-17-CE01-0014 | en_US |
dc.language.iso | EN | en_US |
dc.rights | Attribution 3.0 United States | * |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/us/ | * |
dc.title.en | Role of Atmospheric Indices in Describing Inshore Directional Wave Climate in the United Kingdom and Ireland | |
dc.type | Article de revue | en_US |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1029/2020EF001625 | en_US |
dc.subject.hal | Planète et Univers [physics]/Sciences de la Terre/Océanographie | en_US |
dc.subject.hal | Planète et Univers [physics]/Interfaces continentales, environnement | en_US |
dc.subject.hal | Sciences de l'environnement/Milieux et Changements globaux | en_US |
bordeaux.journal | Earth's Future | en_US |
bordeaux.page | e2020EF001625 | en_US |
bordeaux.volume | 9 | en_US |
bordeaux.hal.laboratories | EPOC : Environnements et Paléoenvironnements Océaniques et Continentaux - UMR 5805 | en_US |
bordeaux.issue | 5 | en_US |
bordeaux.institution | Université de Bordeaux | en_US |
bordeaux.institution | CNRS | en_US |
bordeaux.team | METHYS | en_US |
bordeaux.peerReviewed | oui | en_US |
bordeaux.inpress | non | en_US |
bordeaux.import.source | hal | |
hal.identifier | hal-03411213 | |
hal.version | 1 | |
hal.popular | non | en_US |
hal.audience | Internationale | en_US |
hal.export | false | |
workflow.import.source | hal | |
dc.rights.cc | CC BY | en_US |
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