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High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene

dc.rights.licenseopenen_US
hal.structure.identifierVariabilité à long terme du climat de l'océan [LOCEAN-VALCO]
hal.structure.identifierUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia [UPCH]
dc.contributor.authorCARRÉ, Matthieu
hal.structure.identifierLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] [LSCE]
dc.contributor.authorBRACONNOT, Pascale
hal.structure.identifierLaboratoire de Planétologie et Géodynamique [UMR 6112] [LPG]
dc.contributor.authorELLIOT, Mary
hal.structure.identifierMax Planck Institute for Meteorology [MPI-M]
dc.contributor.authorD’AGOSTINO, Roberta
hal.structure.identifierSchool of Geosciences [Edinburgh]
dc.contributor.authorSCHURER, Andrew
hal.structure.identifierAlfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research [AWI]
dc.contributor.authorSHI, Xiaoxu
hal.structure.identifierLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] [LSCE]
dc.contributor.authorMARTI, Olivier
hal.structure.identifierAlfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research [AWI]
hal.structure.identifierCenter for Marine Environmental Sciences [Bremen] [MARUM]
dc.contributor.authorLOHMANN, Gerrit
hal.structure.identifierMax Planck Institute for Meteorology [MPI-M]
dc.contributor.authorJUNGCLAUS, Johann
hal.structure.identifierInstitut des Sciences de l'Evolution de Montpellier [UMR ISEM]
dc.contributor.authorCHEDDADI, Rachid
hal.structure.identifierLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] [LSCE]
dc.contributor.authorABDELKADER DI CARLO, Isma
hal.structure.identifierUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia [UPCH]
dc.contributor.authorCARDICH, Jorge
hal.structure.identifierUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia [UPCH]
dc.contributor.authorOCHOA, Diana
hal.structure.identifierUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia [UPCH]
dc.contributor.authorSALAS GISMONDI, Rodolfo
hal.structure.identifierUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia [UPCH]
dc.contributor.authorPÉREZ, Alexander
hal.structure.identifierUniversidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia [UPCH]
dc.contributor.authorROMERO, Pedro
hal.structure.identifierVariabilité à long terme du climat de l'océan [LOCEAN-VALCO]
dc.contributor.authorTURCQ, Bruno
hal.structure.identifierEnvironnements et Paléoenvironnements OCéaniques [EPOC]
dc.contributor.authorCORREGE, Thierry
hal.structure.identifierUniversity of Reading [UOR]
dc.contributor.authorHARRISON, Sandy
dc.date.accessioned2024-02-12T10:15:34Z
dc.date.available2024-02-12T10:15:34Z
dc.date.issued2021-09
dc.identifier.issn0277-3791en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://oskar-bordeaux.fr/handle/20.500.12278/188035
dc.description.abstractEnLack of constraint on spatial and long-term temporal variability of the El Niño southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its sensitivity to external forcing limit our ability to evaluate climate models and ENSO future projections. Current knowledge of Holocene ENSO variability derived from paleoclimate reconstructions does not separate the role of insolation forcing from internal climate variability. Using an updated synthesis of coral and bivalve monthly resolved records, we build composite records of seasonality and interannual variability in four regions of the tropical Pacific: Eastern Pacific (EP), Central Pacific (CP), Western Pacific (WP) and South West Pacific (SWP). An analysis of the uncertainties due to the sampling of chaotic multidecadal to centennial variability by short records allows for an objective comparison with transient simulations (mid-Holocene to present) performed using four different Earth System models. Sea surface temperature and pseudo-δ18O are used in model-data comparisons to assess the potential influence of hydroclimate change on records. We confirm the significance of the Holocene ENSO minimum (HEM) 3-6ka compared to low frequency unforced modulation of ENSO, with a reduction of ENSO variance of ∼50 % in EP and ∼80 % in CP. The approach suggests that the increasing trend of ENSO since 6ka can be attributed to insolation, while models underestimate ENSO sensitivity to orbital forcing by a factor of 4.7 compared to data, even when accounting for the large multidecadal variability. Precession-induced change in seasonal temperature range is positively linked to ENSO variance in EP and to a lesser extent in other regions, in both models and observations. Our regional approach yields insights into the past spatial expression of ENSO across the tropical Pacific. In the SWP, today under the influence of the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ), interannual variability was increased by ∼200 % during the HEM, indicating that SPCZ variability is independent from ENSO on millennial time scales.
dc.description.sponsorshipPAlaeo-Constraints on Monsoon Evolution and Dynamicsen_US
dc.description.sponsorshipIPSL Climate graduate school - ANR-17-EURE-0006en_US
dc.language.isoENen_US
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/
dc.subject.enEl ni~no southernoscillation
dc.subject.enHolocene
dc.subject.enEarth systemmodels
dc.subject.enInsolation
dc.subject.enCorals Bivalves
dc.subject.enTropicalpacific
dc.title.enHigh-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene
dc.title.alternativeQuat. Sci. Rev.en_US
dc.typeArticle de revueen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107125en_US
dc.subject.halPlanète et Univers [physics]en_US
dc.subject.halPhysique [physics]/Physique [physics]/Géophysique [physics.geo-ph]en_US
bordeaux.journalQuaternary Science Reviewsen_US
bordeaux.page107125en_US
bordeaux.volume268en_US
bordeaux.hal.laboratoriesEPOC : Environnements et Paléoenvironnements Océaniques et Continentaux - UMR 5805en_US
bordeaux.institutionUniversité de Bordeauxen_US
bordeaux.institutionCNRSen_US
bordeaux.teamPALEOen_US
bordeaux.peerReviewedouien_US
bordeaux.inpressnonen_US
bordeaux.import.sourcehal
hal.identifierhal-03384257
hal.version1
hal.popularnonen_US
hal.audienceInternationaleen_US
hal.exportfalse
workflow.import.sourcehal
dc.rights.ccCC BY-NC-NDen_US
bordeaux.COinSctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.jtitle=Quaternary%20Science%20Reviews&rft.date=2021-09&rft.volume=268&rft.spage=107125&rft.epage=107125&rft.eissn=0277-3791&rft.issn=0277-3791&rft.au=CARR%C3%89,%20Matthieu&BRACONNOT,%20Pascale&ELLIOT,%20Mary&D%E2%80%99AGOSTINO,%20Roberta&SCHURER,%20Andrew&rft.genre=article


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