Afficher la notice abrégée

Where is the optimum? Predicting the variation of selection along climatic gradients and the adaptive value of plasticity. A case study on tree phenology

hal.structure.identifierCentre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive [CEFE]
hal.structure.identifierInstitut des Sciences de l'Evolution de Montpellier [UMR ISEM]
hal.structure.identifierInstitute of Evolutionary Biology [Edinburgh]
dc.contributor.authorGAUZERE, Julie
hal.structure.identifierCentre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive [CEFE]
dc.contributor.authorTEUF, Bertrand
hal.structure.identifierEcologie des Forêts Méditerranéennes [URFM]
dc.contributor.authorDAVI, Hendrik
hal.structure.identifierCentre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive [CEFE]
dc.contributor.authorCHEVIN, Luis‐miguel
hal.structure.identifierBiodiversité, Gènes & Communautés [BioGeCo]
dc.contributor.authorCAIGNARD, Thomas
hal.structure.identifierCentre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive [CEFE]
dc.contributor.authorLEYS, Bérangère
hal.structure.identifierBiodiversité, Gènes & Communautés [BioGeCo]
dc.contributor.authorDELZON, Sylvain
hal.structure.identifierInstitut des Sciences de l'Evolution de Montpellier [UMR ISEM]
hal.structure.identifierUniversity of British Columbia [UBC]
dc.contributor.authorRONCE, Ophélie
hal.structure.identifierCentre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive [CEFE]
dc.contributor.authorCHUINE, Isabelle
dc.date.issued2020-04
dc.identifier.issn2056-3744
dc.description.abstractEnMany theoretical models predict when genetic evolution and phenotypic plasticity allow adaptation to changing environmental conditions. These models generally assume stabilizing selection around some optimal phenotype. We however often ignore how optimal phenotypes change with the environment, which limit our understanding of the adaptive value of phenotypic plasticity. Here, we propose an approach based on our knowledge of the causal relationships between climate, adaptive traits, and fitness to further these questions. This approach relies on a sensitivity analysis of the process-based model Phenofit, which mathematically formalizes these causal relationships, to predict fitness landscapes and optimal budburst dates along elevation gradients in three major European tree species. Variation in the overall shape of the fitness landscape and resulting directional selection gradients were found to be mainly driven by temperature variation. The optimal budburst date was delayed with elevation, while the range of dates allowing high fitness narrowed and the maximal fitness at the optimum decreased. We also found that the plasticity of the budburst date should allow tracking the spatial variation in the optimal date, but with variable mismatch depending on the species, ranging from negligible mismatch in fir, moderate in beech, to large in oak. Phenotypic plasticity would therefore be more adaptive in fir and beech than in oak. In all species, we predicted stronger directional selection for earlier budburst date at higher elevation. The weak selection on budburst date in fir should result in the evolution of negligible genetic divergence, while beech and oak would evolve counter-gradient variation, where genetic and environmental effects are in opposite directions. Our study suggests that theoretical models should consider how whole fitness landscapes change with the environment. The approach introduced here has the potential to be developed for other traits and species to explore how populations will adapt to climate change.
dc.description.sponsorshipMécanismes de l'adaptation au Changement Climatique: comment plasticité phénotypique, micro-évolution et migration affecteront-elles la phénologie des arbres forestiers ? - ANR-13-ADAP-0006
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWiley Open Access
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/
dc.subject.enAdaptive plasticity
dc.subject.enAbies alba
dc.subject.enbudburst date
dc.subject.enco- and counter-gradient
dc.subject.enelevation gradient
dc.subject.enFagus sylvatica
dc.subject.enfitness landscape
dc.subject.enQuercus petraea
dc.subject.enselection gradient
dc.title.enWhere is the optimum? Predicting the variation of selection along climatic gradients and the adaptive value of plasticity. A case study on tree phenology
dc.typeArticle de revue
dc.identifier.doi10.1002/evl3.160
dc.subject.halSciences de l'environnement/Biodiversité et Ecologie
bordeaux.journalEvolution Letters
bordeaux.page109-123
bordeaux.volume4
bordeaux.issue2
bordeaux.peerReviewedoui
hal.identifierhal-02998132
hal.version1
hal.popularnon
hal.audienceInternationale
hal.origin.linkhttps://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr//hal-02998132v1
bordeaux.COinSctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.jtitle=Evolution%20Letters&rft.date=2020-04&rft.volume=4&rft.issue=2&rft.spage=109-123&rft.epage=109-123&rft.eissn=2056-3744&rft.issn=2056-3744&rft.au=GAUZERE,%20Julie&TEUF,%20Bertrand&DAVI,%20Hendrik&CHEVIN,%20Luis%E2%80%90miguel&CAIGNARD,%20Thomas&rft.genre=article


Fichier(s) constituant ce document

FichiersTailleFormatVue

Il n'y a pas de fichiers associés à ce document.

Ce document figure dans la(les) collection(s) suivante(s)

Afficher la notice abrégée