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The “Local Economy” Effect of Social Transfers: An Empirical Assessment of the Impact of the Bolsa Família Program on Local Productive Structure and Economic Growth

dc.rights.licenseopenen_US
hal.structure.identifierGroupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée [GREThA]
dc.contributor.authorROUGIER, Eric
IDREF: 066908264
dc.contributor.authorFAURE, Yves-Andre
hal.structure.identifierGroupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée [GREThA]
dc.contributor.authorCOMBARNOUS, Francois
IDREF: 111681529
dc.date.accessioned2020-02-20T21:31:24Z
dc.date.available2020-02-20T21:31:24Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.identifier.issn0305750Xen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://oskar-bordeaux.fr/handle/20.500.12278/3663
dc.description.abstractEnSocial transfers impact local economic growth through local demand multiplier and local productive structures. Using original data on productive structures, growth determinants and Bolsa Familia conditional transfers (BFP) for the 184 municipalities of the Brazilian state of Ceará during 2003–10, we show that the positive impact of the transfers on local growth is in fact conditional on the direction of local economic structure transformation. Indeed, transfers did spur light manufacturing transformation activities only in the poorest and less-industrialized localities and did prompt informal activities in weakly productive services in all municipalities. Although we do not find support for the hypothesis of a redistribution trap, our estimations indicate that, on average, the growth impact of BFP transfers could have been twice as great during the period investigated in the absence of the adverse impact of social transfers on structural transformation. By promoting services and informal occupations, including in light manufacturing industries, the BFP could possibly cause a problem of job quality in the future. The medium-term impact of social transfers on poor regions’ local productive structures should therefore be more fully acknowledged by policymakers, notably by associating policies promoting the development and modernization of local productive structures with transfers.
dc.language.isoENen_US
dc.subject.enPoverty Alleviation
dc.subject.enAssessment Method
dc.subject.enEconomic Growth
dc.subject.enBolsa Familia Program
dc.subject.enBrazil
dc.subject.enCeara
dc.subject.enConditional Cash Transfers
dc.subject.enEconomic Structure
dc.subject.enLocal Economic Growth
dc.subject.enLocal Economy Modernization
dc.subject.enMunicipalities
dc.subject.enProductive Structure
dc.subject.enWelfare Reform
dc.title.enThe “Local Economy” Effect of Social Transfers: An Empirical Assessment of the Impact of the Bolsa Família Program on Local Productive Structure and Economic Growth
dc.title.alternativeWorld Dev.en_US
dc.typeArticle de revueen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.09.019
dc.subject.halÉconomie et finance quantitative [q-fin]en_US
bordeaux.journalWorld Developmenten_US
bordeaux.page199-215en_US
bordeaux.volume103en_US
bordeaux.hal.laboratoriesGroupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA) - UMR 5113en_US
bordeaux.institutionUniversité de Bordeauxen_US
bordeaux.peerReviewedouien_US
bordeaux.inpressnonen_US
hal.identifierhal-03122732
hal.version1
hal.date.transferred2021-01-27T10:41:21Z
hal.exporttrue
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