Quantification d'incertitude par propagation spectrale pour le temps de séjour de l'eau dans les réseau
IOLLO, Angelo
Institut de Mathématiques de Bordeaux [IMB]
Modeling Enablers for Multi-PHysics and InteractionS [MEMPHIS]
< Reduce
Institut de Mathématiques de Bordeaux [IMB]
Modeling Enablers for Multi-PHysics and InteractionS [MEMPHIS]
Language
en
Article de revue
This item was published in
Journal of Hydroinformatics. 2020, vol. 22, n° 1, p. 111-120
IWA Publishing
English Abstract
Water distribution networks are critical infrastructures that should ensure the reliable supply of high quality potable water to its users. Numerical models of these networks are generally governed by many parameters for ...Read more >
Water distribution networks are critical infrastructures that should ensure the reliable supply of high quality potable water to its users. Numerical models of these networks are generally governed by many parameters for which the exact value is not known. This may be due to a lack of precise knowledge like for consumer demand or due to a lack of accessibility as for the pipe roughness. For network managers, the effect of these uncertainties on the network state is important information that supports them in the decision-making process. This effect is generally evaluated by propagating the uncertainties using the mathematical model. In the past, perturbation, fuzzy and stochastic collocation methods have been used for uncertainty propagation. However, these methods are limited either in the accuracy of the results or the computational effort of the necessary calculations. This paper uses an alternative spectral approach that uses the polynomial chaos expansion and has the potential to give results of comparable accuracy to the Monte Carlo sampling through the definition of a stochastic model. This approach is applied to the hydraulic model of two real networks in order to evaluate the influence of uncertain demands on the water age.Read less <
Keywords
Quantification d'incertitude
Réseau réel
Distribution multimodale
English Keywords
Multimodal distribution
Real network
Uncertainty quantification
Water age
Waterdistribution systems
ANR Project
Outils, modèles et réseaux sécurisés et innovants de capteurs pour une résilience augmentée des infrastructures liées à l'eau - ANR-14-PICS-0003
Origin
Hal imported