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hal.structure.identifierService Départemental d'Incendie et de Secours des Bouches - du - Rhône
hal.structure.identifierInstitut des Sciences de l'Evolution de Montpellier [UMR ISEM]
dc.contributor.authorLAHAYE, S.
hal.structure.identifierInstitut national de recherche en sciences et technologies pour l'environnement et l'agriculture [IRSTEA]
dc.contributor.authorCURT, T.
hal.structure.identifierBiodiversité, Gènes & Communautés [BioGeCo]
dc.contributor.authorFRÉJAVILLE, Thibaut
hal.structure.identifierSchool of Physical, Environmental and Mathematical Sciences
dc.contributor.authorSHARPLES, J.
hal.structure.identifierInstitut des Sciences de l'Evolution de Montpellier [UMR ISEM]
dc.contributor.authorPARADIS, L.
hal.structure.identifierInstitut des Sciences de l'Evolution de Montpellier [UMR ISEM]
dc.contributor.authorHÉLY, Christelle
dc.date.issued2018
dc.identifier.issn1049-8001
dc.description.abstractEnWildfire containment is often very challenging for firefighters, especially for large and rapidly spreading fires where the risk of firefighter entrapment is high. However, the conditions leading to these 'dangerous' fires are poorly understood in Mediterranean Europe. Here, we analyse reports and interviews of firefighters over the last 40 years in four regions of south-eastern France and investigate the weather conditions that induce large fires, fast-growing fires and fires that are conducive to entrapment. We adopt a quantile regression model to test the effect of weather conditions across different fire sizes and growth rates. The results show that strong winds drive the largest fires everywhere except in Corsica, the southernmost region, where high temperature is the main driver. Strong winds also drive entrapments whereas high temperatures induce rapidly spreading fires. This emphasises that wind-driven fire is the dominant pattern of dangerous fires in France, but it reveals that large 'convective' fires can also present considerable danger. Beyond that, the Fire Weather Index appears to be a good predictor of large fires and fires conducive to entrapments. Identifying weather conditions that drive 'dangerous' wildfires will provide useful information for fire agencies to better prepare for adverse fire behaviours.
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherCSIRO Publishing
dc.subjectquantile regression
dc.subject.enentrapment
dc.subject.enFire Weather Index
dc.subject.enfirefighter safety
dc.subject.engrowth rate
dc.subject.enhigh temperature
dc.subject.enlarge fires
dc.subject.enstrong wind
dc.title.enWhat are the drivers of dangerous fires in Mediterranean France?
dc.typeArticle de revue
dc.identifier.doi10.1071/WF17087
dc.subject.halSciences du Vivant [q-bio]
bordeaux.journalInternational Journal of Wildland Fire
bordeaux.page155-163
bordeaux.volume27
bordeaux.issue3
bordeaux.peerReviewedoui
hal.identifierhal-02629070
hal.version1
hal.popularnon
hal.audienceInternationale
hal.origin.linkhttps://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr//hal-02629070v1
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